I don’t feel like the world is about to fall apart so much as its already in the midst of it. I don’t like the analogy personally, but it’s the boiling frog. Just because the water isn’t fully boiled yet doesn’t mean the frog isn’t already cooked.
That probably sounds pretty dark, depressing, and nihilistic as well as overly pessimistic and extreme to a lot of people. For me it is just a logical observation, like if I saw a delivery truck pulling out of my driveway and I conclude that I must have just gotten a package delivered.
At the heart of the matter are the two principle mechanisms I feel could hold things together. First, is people working together. Second, is technological solutions.
People will work together to solve problems, but now that things are actually falling apart, it’s more like (the other analogy I don’t like but I’m going to use anyway) crabs in a bucket. Too many people are in it for themselves, grabbing everything they can for themselves, pulling the ladder up, and it’s more than enough to overwhelm the people who can and do work together to make things better.
Technology isn’t even being used to solve easily solvable and relatively tractable problems, in fact, it’s often being used to make things worse. I suppose I could go on my old man yells at clouds rant about technology at the grocery store. Instead of using it to make sure the shelves stay stocked and things aren’t out of stock for weeks, we use it to adjust prices on a daily basis via e-ink displays and then forcing people to use terribly implemented self-checkouts. Now imagine that kind of problem solving being used on actual meaningful problems. Some of the technological “fixes” sound great on paper, but in the end they solve nothing at best and on average seem to make things worse.
So from that perspective, yeah, you might say I’m a bit worried at a minimum.






Anecdotally speaking:
Older & conservative folks who use nicotine seem to smoke cigarettes at a far higher rate than other groups who tend to go for options with less health impacts or simply don’t use at all. Again, this is anecdotal, but this is where I see biggest disparity in death rates in my personal life.
Although drugs and alcohol are a tit-for-tat mixed bag because it’s such a complex issue, in my experience, older, hard-right, conservative men have a very high incidence of heavy drinking and/or hard drug use that is probably only rivaled by younger underprivileged and over privileged adults. I don’t really see a lot of middle ground in that group either, it’s like they don’t drink at all or they drink very heavily, very little in between. And to top it off, in a lot of circles, conservative drug/alcohol users have to hide it because it’s not “socially acceptable” which seems like it makes the problem so much worse and the health outcomes much more dire. Liberal folks tend to be more open and forthcoming about it, and also things like mental health medications, and although heavy drinking is heavy drinking, when you don’t have to hide it, that does make it a bit less stressful.
There’s been a relatively recent, sudden, and fairly massive adoption of “all-natural” ideology in conservative circles. Raw milk. No vaccines. Pseudo-science medical care / medicine. Doctors “don’t know nothing”. This seems to be what the article is leaning towards. And once again, older, conservative men trend higher towards ignoring their health issues and “toughing it out” when they do have real problems, leading to worse outcomes. So, no big surprise if it shows up as a higher death rate in that group.
I don’t know the exact scientific definition of death rate, but I assume this is something that’s corrected for age. A lot of my examples seem to focus on older conservatives, I’m guessing that this phenomenon is seen across all age groups? I’ve only known 2 younger people (in their 20s) who died from covid. They were conservatives and no they weren’t vaccinated. One of them believed the vaccine would make him sterile and the other likely caught covid at that dude’s funeral. I know of a 17/18 year old girl from a conservative family that died from fentanyl laced drugs as well, but I don’t know what her political leanings were. Still, even if she was liberal leaning, that’d be 2-to-1 just in my small circle.