Uriel238 [all pronouns]

  • 1 post
  • 30 comments
Joined 3 years ago
Cake day: June 25th, 2023
  • The US is also suffering from a low fertility rate, at 1.79 (population replacement rate is 2.1), which we made up for in the 20th century by lots of immigration.

    (This is one of the factors that informs the great replacement myth, as non-whites approach outnumbering whites in the US. A vocal minority sees this as a bad thing, especially since whites tend to vote Republican and Blacks tend to vote Democrat).

    I find it odd and fascinating that the ownership class is terrified by the notion of a lowering population – babies allegedly grow up to be workers after all – but are not willing to pass policy to support child rearing, and depend entirely on tradwife propaganda and restricting contraception access and abortion access.

    It’s especially a problem since our economy is based entirely on growth, with lots of young people providing support for elders.

    The US is not unique with this problem. South Korea, Japan and Italy (actually the whole EU) also have low rates and are trying to implement changes to improve fertility, and so far to little effect.

  • The current state of LLMs is not the end of development. Right now, they’re sloppy and they consume a lot of resources to function, but future iterations will be better at it, will compute faster, and use fewer resources. Hopefully, we will have escaped the disease that is capitalism before we get there, and the gains in productivity can be shared alike with everyone, rather than a select few.

    An industrial revolution expert on Wired pointed out the quality of products improved with power looms and assembly lines and the countless other inventions that rose with mass-produced steel. AI has had a few successes in science by making discoveries that humans hadn’t yet, but other than that, we’re seeing AI slop, vibecoding, etc. produces worse results than when human beings do it all by hand.

    The horror of this moment is not that AI will someday out perform humans in complex and creative labor, and do it affordably. It’s that corporations and billionaires believe they can force that moment to the present if they throw enough money and resources at it. And they’re doing this specifically and brazenly with the intention of shutting out the majority of the human race as if this were an Ayn Rand fantasy.

    And they’re blind to the consequences of trying, which can break the global economy (and the global ecology).

  • Excessive wealth is a disease, and in some cultures is known to be such. Here in the US, since the California gold rush we’ve had this idea that ordinary people could strike it rich, and so we aspire to join the well-to-do (even while J. P. Morgan would literally kill Carnegie to take his share. The ultra-wealthy are more dog-eat-dog than the rest of us.)

    I can’t speak for the rest of the industrialized neoliberal nations, but Great Britain seems to be okay with lords owning billions and using their wealth and power to control policy. Meanwhile the tech-bros that are crushing the soul of the US are also getting their tendrils into the rest of the world, buying up politicians and spreading far-right propaganda globally.

  • I’m confused. The IPO was $135 per share.

    I’m not confused about the drop. Most analysts said that was a bear price anyway, and it was based on a lot of outrageous promises and valuation of xAI and Starlink, neither of which is very strong right now.

    Essentially, Musk sold SpaceX the way he sells anything, making outrageous long-term promises that are unlikely to be realized, hence we don’t have a fleet of self-driving Tesla taxis already.

    The sooner SpaceX falls to a more realistic valuation, the safer it is for everyone whose pension funds depend on the Nasdaq-100.

  • This is a problem I struggle with philosophically. I have lived in the US with a degree of privilege and I feel the price for that should include knowing how the proverbial sausage is made, that is, knowing all the crap that is being done to allow me to live in (meager) comfort.

    It’s Poor Things cranked up to eleven. The British empire is holding the beer of the American one. It’s just too much.

    The continual rush of news, propelled by the addictive properties of the YouTube algo, have driven me quite mad, albeit, I suffer from behavioral health problems already. I haven’t found a balance to this.